Canada housing starts increased in June

The trend in housing starts was 199,655 units in June 2020, up from 197,063 units in May 2020, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC). This trend measure is a six-month moving average of the monthly seasonally adjusted annual rates (SAAR) of housing starts.

“The national trend in housing starts increased in June,” said Bob Dugan, CMHC’s chief economist. “This reflects higher multi-family starts in Toronto and Montreal following declines in these centres in recent months from COVID-19 measures. Housing starts continued to decline in most other centres in June, including Vancouver. We expect national starts to trend lower in the near term as a result of the negative impact of COVID-19 on economic and housing indicators.”

CMHC uses the trend measure as a complement to the monthly SAAR of housing starts to account for considerable swings in monthly estimates and obtain a more complete picture of Canada’s housing market. In some situations, analyzing only SAAR data can be misleading, as they are largely driven by the multi-unit segment of the market which can vary significantly from one month to the next.

The standalone monthly SAAR of housing starts for all areas in Canada was 211,681 units in June, an increase of 8.3% from 195,453 units in May. The SAAR of urban starts increased by 8.7% in June to 196,675 units. Multiple urban starts increased by 13.0% to 154,602 units in June while single-detached urban starts decreased by 4.5% to 42,073 units.

Rural starts were estimated at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 15,006 units.

Table 1: Preliminary Housing Start Data in Centres 10,000 Population and Over 
Single-Detached All Others Total
June 2019 June 2020 % June 2019 June 2020 % June 2019 June 2020 %
Provinces (10,000+)
N.-L. 63 36 -43 26 12 -54 89 48 -46
P.E.I. 35 28 -20 93 134 44 128 162 27
N.S. 172 140 -19 488 93 -81 660 233 -65
N.B. 92 84 -9 370 160 -57 462 244 -47
Atlantic 362 288 -20 977 399 -59 1,339 687 -49
Qc 774 797 3 4,500 5,086 13 5,274 5,883 12
Ont. 2,058 1,945 -5 4,063 5,097 25 6,121 7,042 15
Man. 194 156 -20 579 445 -23 773 601 -22
Sask. 117 83 -29 124 126 2 241 209 -13
Alta. 949 669 -30 1,741 629 -64 2,690 1,298 -52
Prairies 1,260 908 -28 2,444 1,200 -51 3,704 2,108 -43
B.C. 778 639 -18 4,332 2,476 -43 5,110 3,115 -39
Canada (10,000+) 5,232 4,577 -13 16,316 14,258 -13 21,548 18,835 -13
Metropolitan Areas
Abbotsford-Mission 38 27 -29 32 25 -22 70 52 -26
Barrie 26 50 92 0 206 ## 26 256 ##
Belleville 53 28 -47 28 10 -64 81 38 -53
Brantford 4 29 ## 5 12 140 9 41 356
Calgary 310 218 -30 801 207 -74 1,111 425 -62
Edmonton 467 347 -26 838 289 -66 1,305 636 -51
Greater Sudbury 13 17 31 12 4 -67 25 21 -16
Guelph 51 16 -69 13 12 -8 64 28 -56
Halifax 108 95 -12 460 57 -88 568 152 -73
Hamilton 58 33 -43 97 198 104 155 231 49
Kelowna 65 19 -71 183 219 20 248 238 -4
Kingston 53 28 -47 0 48 ## 53 76 43
Kitchener-Cambridge-Waterloo 84 64 -24 243 556 129 327 620 90
Lethbridge 32 17 -47 30 70 133 62 87 40
London 131 134 2 311 101 -68 442 235 -47
Moncton 26 30 15 209 94 -55 235 124 -47
Montréal 273 266 -3 3,159 3,094 -2 3,432 3,360 -2
Oshawa 192 56 -71 78 101 29 270 157 -42
Ottawa-Gatineau 297 297 648 665 3 945 962 2
Gatineau 34 21 -38 81 276 241 115 297 158
Ottawa 263 276 5 567 389 -31 830 665 -20
Peterborough 17 15 -12 7 0 -100 24 15 -38
Québec 103 102 -1 901 878 -3 1,004 980 -2
Regina 26 12 -54 44 13 -70 70 25 -64
Saguenay 29 32 10 30 23 -23 59 55 -7
St. Catharines-Niagara 122 155 27 58 249 329 180 404 124
Saint John 20 16 -20 72 29 -60 92 45 -51
St. John’s 49 28 -43 25 9 -64 74 37 -50
Saskatoon 81 63 -22 76 112 47 157 175 11
Sherbrooke 79 70 -11 36 312 ## 115 382 232
Thunder Bay 21 17 -19 4 22 450 25 39 56
Toronto 555 652 17 2,460 2,818 15 3,015 3,470 15
Trois-Rivières 39 27 -31 6 68 ## 45 95 111
Vancouver 331 322 -3 3,158 1,683 -47 3,489 2,005 -43
Victoria 70 76 9 149 134 -10 219 210 -4
Windsor 74 80 8 18 101 461 92 181 97
Winnipeg 166 127 -23 555 419 -25 721 546 -24
Total 4,063 3,565 -12 14,746 12,838 -13 18,809 16,403 -13

Data based on 2016 Census Definitions.
Source: Market Analysis Centre, CMHC
## not calculable / extreme value

Table 2: Preliminary Housing Start Data — Seasonally Adjusted at Annual Rates (SAAR)
Single-Detached All Others Total
May 2020 June 2020 % May 2020 June 2020 % May 2020 June 2020 %
Provinces (10,000+)
N.L. 172 250 45 0 116 ## 172 366 113
P.E.I. 161 214 33 864 1,608 86 1,025 1,822 78
N.S. 1,399 1,174 -16 1,847 1,144 -38 3,246 2,318 -29
N.B. 648 567 -13 2,552 1,718 -33 3,200 2,285 -29
Qc 8,792 6,570 -25 48,801 47,433 -3 57,593 54,003 -6
Ont. 17,044 17,448 2 38,518 58,893 53 55,562 76,341 37
Man. 1,507 1,671 11 2,172 5,340 146 3,679 7,011 91
Sask. 900 783 -13 936 1,512 62 1,836 2,295 25
Alta. 7,197 7,003 -3 11,263 7,162 -36 18,460 14,165 -23
B.C. 6,215 6,393 3 29,883 29,676 -1 36,098 36,069 0
Canada (10,000+) 44,035 42,073 -4 136,836 154,602 13 180,871 196,675 9
Canada (All Areas) 53,737 51,635 -4 141,716 160,045 13 195,453 211,681 8
Metropolitan Areas
Abbotsford-Mission 330 290 -12 168 300 79 498 590 18
Barrie 886 432 -51 120 2,472 ## 1,006 2,904 189
Belleville 150 267 78 144 120 -17 294 387 32
Brantford 349 391 12 384 144 -63 733 535 -27
Calgary 2,825 2,361 -16 5,508 2,484 -55 8,333 4,845 -42
Edmonton 2,856 3,433 20 4,740 3,468 -27 7,596 6,901 -9
Greater Sudbury 24 131 446 24 48 100 48 179 273
Guelph 254 97 -62 0 144 ## 254 241 -5
Halifax 1,051 748 -29 1,644 684 -58 2,695 1,432 -47
Hamilton 526 335 -36 684 2,376 247 1,210 2,711 124
Kelowna 422 230 -45 1,356 2,628 94 1,778 2,858 61
Kingston 123 204 66 2,400 576 -76 2,523 780 -69
Kitchener-Cambridge-Waterloo 637 668 5 948 6,672 ## 1,585 7,340 363
Lethbridge 137 178 30 72 840 ## 209 1,018 387
London 477 1,370 187 1,128 1,212 7 1,605 2,582 61
Moncton 203 200 -1 1,836 1,128 -39 2,039 1,328 -35
Montréal 3,371 2,287 -32 29,504 37,014 25 32,875 39,301 20
Oshawa 789 415 -47 1,140 1,212 6 1,929 1,627 -16
Ottawa-Gatineau 3,595 2,872 -20 8,232 7,980 -3 11,827 10,852 -8
Gatineau 537 331 -38 3,300 3,312 0 3,837 3,643 -5
Ottawa 3,058 2,541 -17 4,932 4,668 -5 7,990 7,209 -10
Peterborough 196 119 -39 156 0 -100 352 119 -66
Québec 1,440 795 -45 10,104 10,536 4 11,544 11,331 -2
Regina 175 120 -31 372 156 -58 547 276 -50
Saguenay 184 204 11 480 276 -43 664 480 -28
St. Catharines-Niagara 918 1,458 59 348 2,988 ## 1,266 4,446 251
Saint John 163 118 -28 24 348 ## 187 466 149
St. John’s 130 193 48 0 108 ## 130 301 132
Saskatoon 651 553 -15 552 1,344 143 1,203 1,897 58
Sherbrooke 447 370 -17 1,368 3,744 174 1,815 4,114 127
Thunder Bay 43 91 112 288 264 -8 331 355 7
Toronto 5,424 5,887 9 24,336 33,816 39 29,760 39,703 33
Trois-Rivières 225 174 -23 1,452 816 -44 1,677 990 -41
Vancouver 2,681 3,381 26 22,236 20,196 -9 24,917 23,577 -5
Victoria 600 734 22 2,460 1,608 -35 3,060 2,342 -23
Windsor 555 648 17 288 1,212 321 843 1,860 121
Winnipeg 1,156 1,338 16 1,656 5,028 204 2,812 6,366 126

Data based on 2016 Census Definitions.
Source: Market Analysis Centre, CMHC
## not calculable / extreme value

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